The effects of sex preselection on the sex ratio of families

Advances in the potential for couples to predetermine the sex of their children will have significant consequences for many aspects of society. Among the likely demographic impacts are changes in both population size and the sex ratio. The aim of this article is to assess the effects of sex preselection on the sex ratio of families. The expected family sex ratio is derived and characterized for couples with particular preferences for the sex composition of their families. When couples desire k children of one sex and none of the other, the proportion of children in the completed family that are of the desired sex falls with increasing k. Constraints on total family size further reduce this proportion. When couples have a desire for a balanced composition of one boy and one girl, and when they have a preference for, say, a boy to be born first, they can expect a proportion of boys in the family that at first rises, and then falls, as sex preselection methods improve.