Role of delay discounting in predicting change in HBA1c for individuals with prediabetes

The majority of people with prediabetes transition to type 2 diabetes. Weight gain is a known predictor of increasing the risk of diabetes, but another reason may be a focus on immediate rewards and discounting of the future. Delay discounting (DD: devaluation of future consequences) is related to obesity and poor glycemic control in persons with type 2 diabetes. This study was designed to assess whether changes in DD are associated with HbA1c change beyond BMI change in individuals with prediabetes. Hierarchical regression showed changes in BMI (p = 0.008) and the $1000 DD task (p = 0.04) were associated with HbA1c change beyond demographic characteristics, with the full model accounting for 25.8% of the variance. Those with greater BMI increases and greater increases in discounting of the future showed the greatest increases in HbA1c. DD represents a novel target to prevent progression from prediabetes to type 2 diabetes.