TY - GEN
T1 - Reexamining information fusion-decision making inter-dependencies
AU - Llinas, James
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - Many decision-making process models show some level of interdependency between the decision-making (DM) process and its subfunctions and the information available to that decision-making process. One example is the well-known 'OODA: Observe-Orient-Decide-Act' model of Boyd [1] and another well-known example is Klein's Naturalistic or Recognition-Primed Decision model [2]. In the Information and Data Fusion (IDF) community, the point of view for process/system development is often centered about forming a least-uncertain estimate of a situational state as derived from multiple sources and sensors. However, there has been, unfortunately, relatively little interaction between the IDF and DM communities', and the critical examination of inter-process interdependencies needed to co-design these processes for optimum performance. This paper argues that IDF, Sensemaking, and DM processes cannot be optimally designed without consideration of such interdependencies, and a variety of details of such interdependencies of these processes are discussed. Among the issues commented on are: little accounting for the 'Dual-process Models' of decision-making (factors of which have in fact been addressed by Nobel Laureates), integration of Information Foraging operations and the link to Sensemaking processes supportive of DM, important temporal effects in interprocess design, metrics involved in measuring and evaluating process interdependencies, new factors on the input side such as unstructured and linguistic data, among other factors. The spirit of the paper is as a research challenge for the IDF, cognitive, and DM communities (i.e., the CogSIMA community) and an appeal for joint efforts to evolve optimal designs of these important interdependent processes.
AB - Many decision-making process models show some level of interdependency between the decision-making (DM) process and its subfunctions and the information available to that decision-making process. One example is the well-known 'OODA: Observe-Orient-Decide-Act' model of Boyd [1] and another well-known example is Klein's Naturalistic or Recognition-Primed Decision model [2]. In the Information and Data Fusion (IDF) community, the point of view for process/system development is often centered about forming a least-uncertain estimate of a situational state as derived from multiple sources and sensors. However, there has been, unfortunately, relatively little interaction between the IDF and DM communities', and the critical examination of inter-process interdependencies needed to co-design these processes for optimum performance. This paper argues that IDF, Sensemaking, and DM processes cannot be optimally designed without consideration of such interdependencies, and a variety of details of such interdependencies of these processes are discussed. Among the issues commented on are: little accounting for the 'Dual-process Models' of decision-making (factors of which have in fact been addressed by Nobel Laureates), integration of Information Foraging operations and the link to Sensemaking processes supportive of DM, important temporal effects in interprocess design, metrics involved in measuring and evaluating process interdependencies, new factors on the input side such as unstructured and linguistic data, among other factors. The spirit of the paper is as a research challenge for the IDF, cognitive, and DM communities (i.e., the CogSIMA community) and an appeal for joint efforts to evolve optimal designs of these important interdependent processes.
KW - Analytical decision making
KW - decision making
KW - decision process models
KW - information fusion
KW - intuitive decision making
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84902117727
U2 - 10.1109/CogSIMA.2014.6816532
DO - 10.1109/CogSIMA.2014.6816532
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84902117727
SN - 9781479935642
T3 - 2014 IEEE International Inter-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support, CogSIMA 2014
SP - 1
EP - 6
BT - 2014 IEEE International Inter-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support, CogSIMA 2014
PB - IEEE Computer Society
T2 - 2014 IEEE International Inter-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support, CogSIMA 2014
Y2 - 3 March 2014 through 6 March 2014
ER -