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Price discovery in the round-the-clock U.S. Treasury market

  • Indiana University Southeast
  • Xiamen University
  • University of Arkansas, Fayetteville
  • City University of Hong Kong

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

17 Scopus citations

Abstract

We evaluate the efficacy of price discovery in the round-the-clock U.S. Treasury market. Using a comprehensive intraday database, we explore informational role of trades over the 24-hour day. We find that information asymmetry is generally highest in the preopen period and lowest in the postclose period. Information asymmetry in the overnight period is comparable to that in the regular trading period. However, on days with macroeconomic announcements, information asymmetry peaks shortly after the news release at 8:30. Moreover, information asymmetry is higher on Monday morning and higher immediately before than after the open of U.S. Treasury futures trading. Although volume is low after hours and trading cost is relatively high, overnight trading generates significant price discovery. Results suggest that overnight trading activity is an important part of the Treasury price discovery process.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)464-490
Number of pages27
JournalJournal of Financial Intermediation
Volume18
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2009

Keywords

  • After-hours trading
  • Asymmetric information
  • Liquidity provision
  • Price discovery
  • Variance decomposition

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