Monte Carlo simulation-based supply chain disruption management for wargames

In this paper, we integrate supply chain risk management with a government-terrorist game conducted in war zones (such as Afghanistan and Iraq). The equilibrium outcomes of wargames depend on the government's resources delivered through military supply chains, which are subject to disruptions such as natural disasters and terrorism. We study the government's optimal pre-disruption preparation strategies, including inventory protection and capacity backup protection. Considering the uncertainties (e.g., the outage length of a disruption and the level of resources available to the terrorist), we conduct Monte Carlo simulation experiments to numerically investigate the benefits using our disruption preparation strategies compared with other strategies.