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Drafting agent-based modeling into basketball analytics

  • George Mason University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

The growth of sports analytics (SA) has raised numerous research topics across a variety of sports, including basketball. Agent-based modeling (ABM) has great potential to assist and inform SA, but to date it has not been utilized. To support the use of ABM in SA, a model of a basketball game, which considers most fundamentals of play, is presented. Additionally, player behavior is partially predicated on assessing the length of a player’s shooting streak (testing the “hot-hand” effect) and the consideration a team gives to a streak and their franchise player. The model’s output is used to calibrate and validate it against statistics from the National Basketball Association (NBA). Via a set of experiments, the model indicates that an increased belief in the franchise player leads to increased scoring action, but a belief in the hot-hand a minor effect. Thereby, demonstrating the utility of ABM to SA, thus opening a new research field.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSimulation Series
PublisherThe Society for Modeling and Simulation International
Edition1
ISBN (Electronic)9781510892521, 9781510892538, 9781510892545, 9781510892552, 9781510892569
DOIs
StatePublished - 2019
Event2019 Annual Simulation Symposium, ANSS 2019, Part of the 2019 Spring Simulation Multi-Conference, SpringSim 2019 - Tucson, United States
Duration: Apr 29 2019May 2 2019

Publication series

NameSimulation Series
Number1
Volume51
ISSN (Print)0735-9276

Conference

Conference2019 Annual Simulation Symposium, ANSS 2019, Part of the 2019 Spring Simulation Multi-Conference, SpringSim 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityTucson
Period04/29/1905/2/19

Keywords

  • Agent-based modeling
  • Hot-hand effect
  • Sports analytics

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