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Buffon's needle and the estimation of migration distances

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

21 Scopus citations

Abstract

A procedure is suggested for estimating migration distances from data on the proportion of migrants crossing regional boundaries. The method makes use of Buffon's needle, a problem in geometrical probability from the eighteenth century that was originally used as an empirical means of estimating Π. The procedure is described for various scenarios that differ in their assumptions about region shape, the spatial distribution of population, and the distribution of migration distances. An application to migration distances in the United States is given, and additional attention is given to the estimation of intraregional migration distances.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)229-238
Number of pages10
JournalMathematical Population Studies
Volume2
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 1 1990

Keywords

  • Buffon's needle
  • geometrical probability
  • Migration distance

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