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Belief-based hybrid argumentation for threat assessment

  • Modus Operandi, Inc.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper describes a mixed-initiative model of knowledge discovery capable of monitoring a dynamic environment, in which uncertain and unreliable messages can be reasoned over for recognizing human activities and predicting likely threats. The model represents an argument assistant helping an analyst in argument production by considering pro and contra arguments from uncertain transient information while seeing each piece of this information as an element of alternative stories (hypotheses based on what might happen). These hypotheses are evaluated within the framework of the Transferable Belief Model by assigning beliefs to each argument, combining these beliefs, and selecting a story (hypothesis) based on the highest pignistic probability. Anytime decision making provides decision quality control by weighing time and hypothesis credibility.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2015 IEEE International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision, CogSIMA 2015
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages179-185
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781479980154
DOIs
StatePublished - May 14 2015
Event2015 IEEE International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision, CogSIMA 2015 - Orlando, United States
Duration: Mar 9 2015Mar 12 2015

Publication series

Name2015 IEEE International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision, CogSIMA 2015

Conference

Conference2015 IEEE International Multi-Disciplinary Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision, CogSIMA 2015
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityOrlando
Period03/9/1503/12/15

Keywords

  • Decision support
  • defeasible argumentation
  • sequential decision making
  • story telling
  • Transferable Belief Model

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