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Asymptotic Nash equilibrium for sequential change detection in adversarial environments

  • Shuchen Cao
  • , Ruizhi Zhang
  • , Shaofeng Zou
  • University of Nebraska-Lincoln
  • University of Georgia

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The problem of the quickest detection under adversarial environments is investigated. Initially, the defender aims to design a detection procedure to detect the change of the data stream from a pre-change distribution (Formula presented.) to a post-change distribution (Formula presented.) However, in the adversarial environment, the adversary can modify the actual distributions by picking a distribution p from a set of distributions (Formula presented.) around the designed pre-change distribution (Formula presented.) as the actual pre-change data-generating distribution with the cost (Formula presented.) Assume the adversary knows the true change time and after the change occurs, the adversary picks the actual post-change data-generating distribution q from another distribution set (Formula presented.) around the true post-change distribution with cost (Formula presented.) The defender’s goal is to detect the change as quickly as possible, subject to a false alarm constraint, while the adversary’s goal is to fool the defender, subject to its cost constraint. The problem is formulated as a non-zero-sum game between the adversary and the defender. A pair of strategies for the defender and the attacker is proposed and proved to be a Nash equilibrium pair for the non-zero-sum game asymptotically. Numerical experiments are provided to validate our results.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)237-249
Number of pages13
JournalSequential Analysis
Volume45
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026

Keywords

  • Adversary attack
  • CUSUM
  • game-theoretic framework
  • quickest detection

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