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Action Selection Under Uncertainty and Risk Involving High Consequence Rare Events

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper describes an approach to decision making for action selection in the presence of high consequence rare events. A model presented in the paper is an adaptation of the Multiple Quantile Theory that evaluates actions based on Choquet utility while considering decision making attitudes towards gains and losses. In our model, the capacities used for computing Choquet utility are based on the belief structure resulting from situation assessment, which allows for eliminating a priori parameter selection required by the Multiple Quantile Theory. A use case designed to illustrate the feasibility of the model in a simple military scenario is also presented.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2018 IEEE International Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management, CogSIMA 2018
EditorsOdd Erik Gundersen, Christian Lebiere, Galina L. Rogova, Ken Baclawski, Andrea Salfinger
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages8-14
Number of pages7
ISBN (Print)9781538652886
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 31 2018
Event8th IEEE International Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management, CogSIMA 2018 - Boston, United States
Duration: Jun 11 2018Jun 14 2018

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2018 IEEE International Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management, CogSIMA 2018

Conference

Conference8th IEEE International Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management, CogSIMA 2018
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityBoston
Period06/11/1806/14/18

Keywords

  • Belief functions
  • Choquet Utility
  • Decision Theory
  • Expected Utility
  • High Consequence Rare Events
  • Multiple Quantile Theory
  • Transferable Belief Model

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