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A seismologically consistent surface rupture length model for unbounded and width-limited events

  • University of Southern California
  • University of California at Berkeley
  • University of California at Los Angeles
  • United States Geological Survey

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

A new surface-rupture-length (SRL) relationship as a function of magnitude (Formula presented), fault thickness, and fault dip angle is presented in this article. The objective of this study is to model the change in scaling between unbounded and width-limited ruptures. This is achieved through the use of seismological-theory-based relationships for the average displacement scaling and the aid of dynamic fault rupture simulations to constrain the rupture width scaling. The empirical data set used in the development of this relationship is composed of (Formula presented) events ranging from (Formula presented) 5 to (Formula presented) and SRL 1.1 to 432 km. The dynamic rupture simulations data set includes (Formula presented) events ranging from (Formula presented) 4.9 to 8.2 and (Formula presented) 1 to 655 km. For the average displacement (Formula presented) scaling, three simple models and two composite models were evaluated. The simple average displacement models are a square root of the rupture area (Formula presented), a down-dip width (Formula presented), and a rupture length (Formula presented) proportional model. The two composite models have a (Formula presented) scaling for unbounded ruptures and transition to (Formula presented) and (Formula presented) scaling for width-limited events, respectively. The empirical data favors a (Formula presented) scaling for the entire regime (unbounded and width-limited ruptures) followed by a (Formula presented) scaling for unbounded that changes to (Formula presented) scaling for width-limited ruptures. The selected models exhibit better predictive performance compared to linear (Formula presented) type models, especially in the large magnitude range, which is dominated by width-limited events. A comparison with published SRL models shows consistent scaling for different fault types and tectonic environments.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2859-2879
Number of pages21
JournalEarthquake Spectra
Volume41
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2025

Keywords

  • displacement scaling relations
  • empirical model
  • Probabilistic fault displacement hazard analysis
  • seismic hazard
  • seismology
  • surface fault rupture

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